What does the next year hold for emerging market currencies?
Emerging market (EMs) currencies have been particularly volatile in 2018 due to the rise of the dollar, which has increased the cost of dollar-denominated debt and contributed to crises in Argentina, Turkey and Venezuela. These effects could soon spread to other EM currencies such as those used by Chile, Poland and Hungary, which all have a large amount of US debt. Meanwhile the future looks uncertain for the Chinese renminbi and Russian ruble, which are at risk from the effects of Trump’s ‘trade war’ and international sanctions respectively.
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